Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.820 | $1.25 | +$0.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.940 | $1.02 | 11d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.07 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.06 |
| -$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August? | No | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | -$0.01 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 1.18 | $0.870 | $0.99 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 1 |
| $0.999 |
| $1 |
| 11d ago |
 Will Russell Henley win the 2026 TOUR Championship?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.995 | $2.02 | 11d ago |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 TOUR Championship?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.998 | $3.05 | 11d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?No | sell | 3.04 | $0.993 | $3.02 | 11d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.999 | $4.1 | 11d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | 11d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.820 | $1.04 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 30?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | 11d ago |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.870 | $1.03 | 11d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.996 | $7.91 | 11d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in August?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | 11d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August?No | sell | 9.97 | $0.997 | $9.94 | 11d ago |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | 11d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 3?No | sell | 3 | $0.993 | $2.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 3?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular SeasonDplus | buy | 1.1 | $0.930 | $1.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?No | sell | 5.97 | $0.995 | $5.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.998 | $7.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 3?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.997 | $7.38 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.990 | $1.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 3?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.998 | $8.47 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | sell | 9.74 | $0.997 | $9.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.979 | $1.03 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.999 | $10.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?No | sell | 0.46 | $0.996 | $0.46 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.998 | $1.6 | May 19, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?No | sell | 3.67 | $0.993 | $3.64 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.999 | $4.8 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.998 | $4.67 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.999 | $5.8 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?No | sell | 6 | $0.995 | $5.97 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | sell | 7.03 | $0.998 | $7.02 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.999 | $8.1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.997 | $9.03 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.998 | $10.1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.960 | $1.05 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.980 | $1.03 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?Yes | sell | 9.05 | $0.998 | $9.03 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.999 | $10.09 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on April 8?No | sell | 4.7 | $0.996 | $4.68 | Apr 7, 2026 |