Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 5.67 | $0.997 | $5.65 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 5.67 | $0.997 | $5.65 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 6.52 |
| $0.929 |
| $6.06 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?No | buy | 6.53 | $0.976 | $6.37 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by July 31?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.990 | $6.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.974 | $1.77 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.973 | $4.93 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 2.83 | $0.973 | $2.75 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.965 | $2.74 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 6.93 | $0.979 | $6.78 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 6.93 | $0.982 | $6.81 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will March 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.996 | $6.78 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | sell | 7.13 | $0.951 | $6.78 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.943 | $6.73 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.961 | $6.74 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.968 | $6.79 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 29?Yes | buy | 9.37 | $0.959 | $8.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.18K | $0.002 | $4.36 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.999 | $4.35 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on October 27?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.993 | $4.32 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $3.20 on October 16?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.998 | $4.32 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.994 | $3.24 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.992 | $6.27 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.988 | $5.49 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?No | buy | 4.5 | $0.997 | $4.49 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.994 | $2.39 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.994 | $6.2 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.997 | $1.42 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.997 | $1.63 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.999 | $1.77 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 20.96K | $0.001 | $20.96 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 20.96K | $0.001 | $20.96 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 0.83 | $0.978 | $0.81 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.983 | $1.28 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | sell | 3.21K | $0.997 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.998 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | sell | 3.21K | $0.997 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.998 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 |
 U.S. military strike on Lebanon before November?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.973 | $1.08 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.987 | $1.77 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Subway World Series?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.960 | $0.76 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| 2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.989 | $1.18 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Solana above $145 on October 18?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.962 | $1.31 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 0.69 | $0.999 | $0.69 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3-3.4 on Oct 18?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 20-24 times October 11-18?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.970 | $1.16 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will the Greens win the most seats in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.997 | $2.46 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15.34K | $0.001 | $15.34 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 919.09 | $0.997 | $916.33 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 919.09 | $0.998 | $917.25 | Oct 1, 2024 |