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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 4.91K | $0.372 | $1.69K | -$132.82 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 111 | $0.400 | $44.4 | 4h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 7.33K |
| $0.144 |
| $1.06K |
| +$9.9 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.99K | $0.228 | $1.01K | -$582.59 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 3.6K | $0.253 | $988.93 | +$77.75 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.270 | $864.36 | +$45.96 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 2.73K | $0.379 | $764.48 | -$271.54 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.18K | $0.305 | $687.72 | +$21.02 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.264 | $514.21 | -$40.73 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 6.01K | $0.090 | $450.47 | -$89.19 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 6.6K | $0.087 | $428.85 | -$144.67 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 798.13 | $0.387 | $319.25 | +$10.11 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 963.18 | $0.240 | $202.27 | -$28.84 |
 Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 613.82 | $0.200 | $141.18 | +$18.6 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 777 | $0.130 | $128.21 | +$27.2 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 198.99 | $0.510 | $94.52 | -$6.93 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 268.52 | $0.320 | $87.27 | +$1.22 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.39K | $0.112 | $75.06 | -$80.04 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.29K | $0.081 | $73.25 | -$30.45 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30? | Yes | 642.12 | $0.097 | $71.92 | +$9.36 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 308.86 | $0.239 | $63.32 | -$10.41 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.070 | $62.5 | +$27.5 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 509.24 | $0.042 | $20.37 | -$0.96 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 315.8 | $0.070 | $13.9 | -$8.21 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 106.67 | $0.100 | $12.8 | +$2.13 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.025 | $12.45 | -$32.81 |
| sell |
| 183.6 |
| $0.330 |
| $60.59 |
| 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 154.5 | $0.360 | $55.62 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 289 | $0.310 | $89.59 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 167.1 | $0.300 | $50.13 | 17h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 665 | $0.350 | $232.75 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 341.5 | $0.300 | $102.45 | 18h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 955 | $0.320 | $305.6 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 66.79 | $0.680 | $45.42 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 210 | $0.390 | $81.8 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 335.93 | $0.380 | $127.55 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 276.85 | $0.370 | $102.43 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 140.46 | $0.260 | $36.52 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.390 | $5.85 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 874.61 | $0.220 | $192.41 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 616.47 | $0.210 | $129.46 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 21.47 | $0.350 | $7.51 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 48 | $0.520 | $24.96 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 150.99 | $0.507 | $76.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes | buy | 239.79 | $0.008 | $1.84 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.99 | $0.370 | $17.76 | 1d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.060 | $69.95 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.600 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 474.73 | $0.260 | $123.43 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 777 | $0.130 | $101.01 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.550 | $0.15 | 1d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 315.8 | $0.070 | $22.11 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.500 | $3.5 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 255.39 | $0.500 | $127.7 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 111 | $0.840 | $93.24 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 56.17 | $0.830 | $46.62 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 120.52 | $0.818 | $98.62 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.470 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 171.66 | $0.370 | $63.51 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 36.43 | $0.310 | $11.29 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 151.55 | $0.212 | $32.06 | 3d ago |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 283.91 | $0.240 | $68.14 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.340 | $37.74 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 12.46 | $0.380 | $4.73 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 36.43 | $0.300 | $10.93 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.070 | $35 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.320 | $64 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 220.97 | $0.250 | $55.24 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.310 | $31 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 705.7 | $0.290 | $204.65 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 104.99 | $0.300 | $31.5 | 4d ago |