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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 54.38 | $0.160 | $8.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.52K |
| $0.107 |
| $700 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 252.98 | $0.269 | $68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 151.6 | $0.450 | $68.22 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 606.44 | $0.562 | $341 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.200 | $349.94 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.220 | $384.93 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.001 | $1.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 48.18K | $0.004 | $192.71 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 246 | $0.005 | $1.23 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 25.03K | $0.005 | $125.14 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.88K | $0.024 | $93.18 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.21K | $0.027 | $86.08 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 7.43K | $0.015 | $111.47 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 62.24 | $0.028 | $1.76 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 6.37K | $0.029 | $184.76 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 478.21 | $0.028 | $13.39 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No | buy | 30K | $0.001 | $30 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.05K | $0.029 | $88.56 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 6.4K | $0.031 | $200 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.045 | $50 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.045 | $50 | May 16, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 404.45 | $0.632 | $255.75 | May 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 6.51K | $0.001 | $6.51 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | sell | 71.55 | $0.090 | $6.45 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 433.33 | $0.012 | $5.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | sell | 75.21 | $0.070 | $5.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 585.52 | $0.029 | $16.88 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes | sell | 161.51 | $0.100 | $16.19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5.05K | $0.008 | $39 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5.19K | $0.008 | $40 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?Yes | sell | 614.87 | $0.129 | $79.09 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 383.98 | $0.099 | $38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.200 | $38.46 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.130 | $25 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.280 | $13.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.150 | $11.54 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?Yes | buy | 274.83 | $0.065 | $18 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 327.01 | $0.023 | $7.5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 77.77 | $0.320 | $24.89 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 77.78 | $0.180 | $14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 742.89 | $0.067 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?Yes | buy | 340.04 | $0.064 | $21.81 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?Yes | buy | 103.17 | $0.097 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 132.71 | $0.075 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 568.51 | $0.035 | $20 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | buy | 71.56 | $0.045 | $3.22 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?No | buy | 53.97 | $0.093 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |