Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Weed rescheduled by March 31?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Mar 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.04 |
| $0.991 |
| $3.01 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.890 | $1.75 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.900 | $1.78 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.970 | $4.81 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 4.6 | $0.972 | $4.47 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 4.61 | $0.929 | $4.28 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 6.34 | $0.940 | $5.96 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.977 | $4.21 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 James Comey in jail in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.994 | $2.47 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.994 | $1.53 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.994 | $1.08 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?No | buy | 6.3 | $0.830 | $5.23 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.993 | $5.13 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.988 | $5.01 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.903 | $1.07 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.800 | $4.36 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.964 | $1.04 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.987 | $1.4 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.814 | $1.16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.997 | $1.31 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.996 | $3.6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.999 | $3.68 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by September 30?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.999 | $2.05 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.996 | $1.35 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 19?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.998 | $1.78 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.89 | $0.962 | $16.25 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.997 | $3.53 | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.89 | $0.959 | $16.2 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.49 | $0.999 | $10.48 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 22?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?No | buy | 14.25 | $0.998 | $14.22 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?Yes | buy | 15.71 | $0.991 | $15.57 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 14.53 | $0.999 | $14.52 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 India strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 17.57 | $0.988 | $17.36 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.998 | $1.39 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Yoon out of custody by July 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.997 | $1.33 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.998 | $1.82 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.973 | $10.72 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.997 | $5.64 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.997 | $12.47 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 15-21?Yes | buy | 17.95 | $0.993 | $17.82 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Romania's court annul the presidential election?No | sell | 11.19 | $0.996 | $11.15 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.999 | $3.98 | Jul 18, 2025 |