Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $19.66 | +$4.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Did Symmetry Investments LLC blow up?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Feb 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.450 |
| $2.25 |
| Feb 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.52 | $0.988 | $15.33 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Israel aid package by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Apr 17, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Apr 17, 2024 |
 U.S. drop charges against Assange before June?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Apr 17, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by April 15?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Apr 14, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by April 15?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Apr 12, 2024 |
 Will $boden hit $1b FDV in April?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Apr 6, 2024 |
 US bank failure in April?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Apr 6, 2024 |
 Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Mar 28, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Mar 28, 2024 |
 Do Kwon extradited before May?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Mar 28, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Mar 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump make bond by March 25?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Mar 22, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged by May 1?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Mar 22, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high by Friday?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 29, 2024 |
 Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Feb 19, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by March 20?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 19, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Feb 9, 2024 |
 New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Feb 6, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by May 1?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Feb 6, 2024 |
 Trump and Biden both win nomination?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 5, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Feb 3, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Feb 3, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 29, 2024 |
 Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 16, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 16, 2024 |
 Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 8, 2024 |
 Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 1, 2024 |