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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.109 | $82.5 | -$37.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 640 |
| $0.140 |
| $25.28 |
| -$64.32 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 550 | $0.091 | $16.5 | -$33.55 |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 925.85 | $0.108 | $5.09 | -$94.91 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 263.16 | $0.190 | $1.18 | -$48.82 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.091 |
| $45.5 |
| Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.110 | $110 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.091 | $4.55 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.61 | $0.100 | $8.36 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 172.5 | $0.580 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 925.85 | $0.108 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 556.41 | $0.972 | $540.83 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 640 | $0.140 | $89.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.135 | $67.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.700 | $24.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 129.87 | $0.760 | $98.7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.820 | $19.06 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.190 | $53.2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 172.64 | $0.170 | $29.35 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.180 | $100.8 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.470 | $141 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 485.79 | $0.540 | $262.33 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 172.63 | $0.240 | $41.43 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 345.27 | $0.250 | $86.32 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.830 | $66.4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.362 | $54.27 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 118.6 | $0.430 | $51 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 53.59 | $0.954 | $51.12 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.59 | $0.933 | $50 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.050 | $11 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 40K | $0.001 | $40 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.006 | $8 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 141.22K | $0.007 | $940 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.010 | $60 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 56.23K | $0.012 | $700 | Jan 3, 2026 |