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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2K | $0.753 | $1.52K | +$13 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 16.24 | $0.060 | $0.97 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| $0.248 |
| $480.8 |
| -$14.99 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 351.28 | $0.850 | $300.34 | +$1.86 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 125 | $0.938 | $116.88 | -$0.38 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 58.15 | $0.967 | $56.84 | +$0.64 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 58.25 | $0.960 | $55.34 | -$0.58 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 48.63 | $0.985 | $47.92 | +$0.04 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 41.99 | $0.975 | $41.17 | +$0.25 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 41.38 | $0.963 | $39.75 | -$0.11 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.84 | $0.940 | $39.12 | -$0.21 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 40.96 | $0.958 | $39.12 | -$0.12 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 36.36 | $0.965 | $35.14 | +$0.04 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 31.68 | $0.942 | $29.84 | +$0.01 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.950 | $23.63 | -$0.13 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 24.07 | $0.972 | $23.33 | -$0.07 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 24.76 | $0.898 | $21.91 | -$0.32 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 24.72 | $0.892 | $21.63 | -$0.42 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 24.76 | $0.890 | $21.42 | -$0.62 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 19.03 | $0.978 | $18.56 | -$0.06 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 37.85 | $0.410 | $17.79 | +$2.26 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.620 | $17.47 | +$0.93 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.6 | $0.950 | $17.39 | -$0.28 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 17.28 | $0.993 | $16.66 | -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 15.8 | $0.968 | $15.31 | +$0.02 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 15.18 | $0.981 | $14.87 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 5.5 |
| $0.860 |
| $4.73 |
| 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.9 | $0.360 | $2.12 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.46 | $0.320 | $1.75 | 8h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 88 | $0.860 | $75.68 | 8h ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.5 | $0.160 | $1.52 | 8h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.400 | $2.04 | 8h ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.450 | $4.74 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 8h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.060 | $1.8 | 9h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.77 | $0.060 | $1.07 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 7.45 | $0.350 | $2.61 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.650 | $4.88 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.360 | $2.16 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 6.61 | $0.570 | $3.77 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.680 | $5.1 | 10h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.520 | $2.73 | 10h ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.960 | $6.48 | 10h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 41.79 | $0.060 | $2.51 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.14 | $0.390 | $2 | 11h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.280 | $1.47 | 11h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | 11h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.52 | $0.060 | $1.05 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.420 | $2.31 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.420 | $1.81 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.570 | $2.9 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 7.75 | $0.370 | $2.87 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.440 | $4.84 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 7.47 | $0.560 | $4.18 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.440 | $3.41 | 12h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.380 | $3.23 | 12h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.380 | $7.22 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.650 | $2.59 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 23 | $0.420 | $9.66 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.620 | $4.34 | 12h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 47.81 | $0.018 | $0.86 | 18h ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 31.4 | $0.890 | $27.95 | 19h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.6 | $0.880 | $8.45 | 21h ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 18.6 | $0.890 | $16.55 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.250 | $1.53 | 1d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.870 | $12.18 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.930 | $11.16 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.600 | $3.07 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.140 | $2.24 | 1d ago |