Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.43 | $0.600 | $0.37 | +$0.11 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.9 |
| $0.440 |
| $0.2 |
| -$0.19 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.16 | $0.104 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 665 |
| $0.080 |
| $53.2 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 665 | $0.080 | $53.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.890 | $48.06 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.890 | $18.69 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 209 | $0.960 | $200.64 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 206 | $0.977 | $201.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 424 | $0.060 | $25.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 424 | $0.080 | $33.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 303 | $0.510 | $154.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.170 | $38.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.179 | $16.1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 217 | $0.530 | $115.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 166 | $0.892 | $148.07 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 384 | $0.109 | $41.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 384 | $0.114 | $43.78 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.370 | $32.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 263 | $0.890 | $234.07 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.900 | $236.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.890 | $234.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 292 | $0.820 | $239.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 292 | $0.820 | $239.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 301 | $0.780 | $234.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 601 | $0.015 | $9.01 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 601 | $0.016 | $9.62 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 205 | $0.971 | $199.06 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.989 | $50.44 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 318 | $0.025 | $7.95 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 318 | $0.018 | $5.72 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.460 | $56.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 444.12 | $0.450 | $199.85 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.946 | $0.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.280 | $0.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.610 | $183 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.600 | $15.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 168 | $0.962 | $161.62 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 471 | $0.280 | $131.88 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.280 | $132.16 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 481 | $0.012 | $5.77 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 641 | $0.015 | $9.62 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 425 | $0.540 | $229.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 425 | $0.540 | $229.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 338 | $0.430 | $145.34 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 508 | $0.440 | $223.52 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 508 | $0.440 | $223.52 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 220 | $0.930 | $204.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.930 | $32.55 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 210 | $0.963 | $202.23 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.440 | $132 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 128 | $0.981 | $125.57 | May 26, 2026 |