Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 16.06 | $0.996 | $15.99 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.06 | $0.996 | $16 | 1d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 13.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $13 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.903 | $2.72 | 18d ago |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 15.72 | $0.999 | $15.7 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 95.7 | $0.999 | $95.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 95.6 | $0.999 | $95.5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?Yes | buy | 95.5 | $0.999 | $95.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?Yes | buy | 95.4 | $0.999 | $95.3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 738.7 | $0.003 | $2.17 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?No | buy | 755 | $0.002 | $1.51 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 99.1 | $0.999 | $99 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 99.08 | $0.999 | $98.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 98.99 | $0.999 | $98.89 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?No | buy | 98.89 | $0.999 | $98.8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 8?No | buy | 98.79 | $0.999 | $98.69 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 1?No | buy | 98.7 | $0.999 | $98.61 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 27?No | buy | 98.62 | $0.999 | $98.52 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 28?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?No | buy | 99.92 | $0.999 | $99.82 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 12?No | buy | 51.17 | $0.999 | $51.12 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12?Yes | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 51.07 | $0.999 | $51.02 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 2?No | buy | 50.97 | $0.999 | $50.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?No | buy | 100.92 | $0.999 | $100.82 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 4?No | buy | 100.82 | $0.999 | $100.72 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.35 | $0.895 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No | buy | 98.37 | $0.999 | $98.27 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 9?Yes | buy | 98.28 | $0.999 | $98.18 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 5?Yes | buy | 98.18 | $0.999 | $98.08 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?No | buy | 86.88 | $0.999 | $86.79 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on December 19?No | buy | 56.67 | $0.999 | $56.61 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 11?No | buy | 86.4 | $0.999 | $86.31 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.994 | $1.22 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.998 | $1.31 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will 2025 Wrapped be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on December 7?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.987 | $1.22 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 7?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.980 | $1.33 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.995 | $1.23 | Dec 7, 2025 |