Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 500 | $0.540 | $347.5 | +$77.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.830 |
| $17.5 |
| +$0.9 |
| buy |
| 24 |
| $0.560 |
| $13.44 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 200 | $0.963 | $192.6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.963 | $963 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.965 | $482.5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.900 | $20.7 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?Yes | buy | 93.46 | $0.650 | $60.75 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 9-15?Yes | buy | 14.76 | $0.984 | $14.52 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?No | buy | 337 | $0.990 | $333.63 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | buy | 244.14 | $0.028 | $6.84 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.948 | $47.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out of Maine Senate race by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.980 | $245 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 200 | $0.967 | $193.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.108 | $110.25 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 987.95 | $0.090 | $88.92 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 9.02 | $0.981 | $8.85 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 499.96 | $0.900 | $449.96 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 322.5 | $0.120 | $38.7 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500K | $0.002 | $1K | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 60.53K | $0.003 | $181.6 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 120.79K | $0.003 | $362.36 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100K | $0.003 | $300 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.022 | $6.53 | May 16, 2025 |
 Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?Yes | sell | 45.67 | $0.100 | $4.57 | May 3, 2025 |
| Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?Yes | sell | 20.99 | $0.110 | $2.31 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 240.57K | $0.001 | $240.57 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 1K | $0.974 | $974.44 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes | sell | 55.23 | $0.170 | $9.39 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.170 | $2.89 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17.01 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 2025 March hottest on record?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.007 | $2.99 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza in first 100 days?No | sell | 1 | $0.990 | $0.99 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will NDP win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | sell | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?Yes | buy | 66.66 | $0.120 | $8 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.998 | $299.4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?Yes | sell | 363.79 | $0.630 | $229.19 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?No | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk before May?No | sell | 173.96 | $0.955 | $166.2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | sell | 200 | $0.980 | $196.08 | Apr 2, 2025 |