Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 405.6 | $0.299 | $121.43 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 80.53 |
| $0.940 |
| $75.71 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.901 | $90.15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 51.5 | $0.194 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 405.61 | $0.123 | $50 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes | sell | 77.36 | $0.936 | $72.41 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.253 | $40 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.760 | $6.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 204.71 | $0.079 | $16.17 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?No | buy | 72.12 | $0.260 | $18.75 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.150 | $18.75 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 267.45 | $0.206 | $55.04 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?No | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 218.65 | $0.165 | $36 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 34.21 | $0.190 | $6.5 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | sell | 307.69 | $0.175 | $53.98 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | sell | 232.1 | $0.100 | $23.21 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?Yes | buy | 338.54 | $0.031 | $10.5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.260 | $80 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 18.89 | $0.180 | $3.4 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.999 | $19.21 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 46.73 | $0.107 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 224.72 | $0.089 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 51.55 | $0.097 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Macron out as president of France in 2024?Yes | sell | 405 | $0.077 | $31.34 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.21 | $0.549 | $10 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.540 | $11 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Macron out as president of France in 2024?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.032 | $9.57 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Macron out as president of France in 2024?Yes | buy | 280.38 | $0.071 | $20 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Macron out as president of France in 2024?Yes | buy | 331.38 | $0.060 | $20 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Macron out as president of France in 2024?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.053 | $0.79 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.090 | $15 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.540 | $3.6 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.100 | $9.09 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.450 | $0.45 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.080 | $1.52 | Nov 13, 2024 |