Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.17 | $0.830 | $11.71 | +$1.61 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 12.17 |
| $0.830 |
| $10.1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.889 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by July 15?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 90–104 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US before May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.996 | $1.99 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Ye banned on X in February?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.870 | $1.2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.900 | $1.1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.967 | $1.3 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Megaquake in January?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.960 | $2.2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 US bank failure before July?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.650 | $1.2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Dittman tweet between 100 and 109 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.030 | $0.63 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.910 | $1.2 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Human to human bird flu transmission before February?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.956 | $1.1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.012 | $0.29 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.040 | $0.96 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 0.34 | $0.870 | $0.3 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Tua Tagovailoa retire by September 30?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.969 | $0.2 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.984 | $0.2 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Solana above $135 on September 20?No | buy | 0.31 | $0.640 | $0.2 | Sep 16, 2024 |