Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.17 |
| $0.854 |
| $1 |
| May 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.910 | $1.01 | May 25, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.454 | $0.51 | May 25, 2026 |
 Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.887 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.998 | $2.32 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.999 | $2.15 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will a U.S. government shutdown be the #1 searched news on Google this year?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.929 | $2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | buy | 26.84 | $0.037 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.178 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will RB Salzburg beat Real Madrid?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.934 | $4 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.950 | $0.48 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?No | buy | 0.32 | $0.927 | $0.3 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS by August 15?No | buy | 0.28 | $0.900 | $0.25 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.540 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.950 | $0.15 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in August?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.900 | $0.15 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Coconut" in August?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.710 | $0.83 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mixed-race" in August?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.770 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Martin Shkreli jail in 2024?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Astaria airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.880 | $0.14 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will $BTC reach 75k before September?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.920 | $0.17 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Tuesday?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.860 | $0.2 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.989 | $0.25 | Jul 27, 2024 |