Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.670 | $402 | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.7K |
| $0.620 |
| $2.91K |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 3.5K | $0.930 | $3.26K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.860 | $3.01K | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.969 | $3.1K | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.760 | $912 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 900 | $0.991 | $891.9 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.770 | $693 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.690 | $690 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 999.97 | $0.985 | $984.97 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 853.94 | $0.844 | $720.73 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.700 | $1.4K | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.974 | $1.95K | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.850 | $1.7K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 2.04K | $0.995 | $2.03K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.850 | $1.74K | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | sell | 999.98 | $0.100 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.996 | $1.59K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.840 | $1.34K | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes | sell | 901.04 | $0.801 | $721.73 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.830 | $141.1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.630 | $630 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes | buy | 471.04 | $0.518 | $244 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.498 | $99.53 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.070 | $70 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.570 | $570 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.151 | $376.5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.120 | $55.2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 540.13 | $0.180 | $97.22 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 21.37 | $0.620 | $13.25 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 167.38 | $0.061 | $10.21 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 508.66 | $0.058 | $29.52 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 47.41 | $0.370 | $17.54 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.999 | $1.2K | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.624 | $249.51 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | sell | 1.76K | $0.050 | $88.23 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 225 | $0.479 | $107.77 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 149.7 | $0.472 | $70.66 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | buy | 264.54 | $0.060 | $15.87 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.090 | $9.9 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Yes | buy | 347.64 | $0.013 | $4.52 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 596.42 | $0.560 | $334 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.090 | $225 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 400 | $0.628 | $251.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 106.15 | $0.411 | $43.63 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 293.85 | $0.420 | $123.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.765 | $29.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |