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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 129.43 | $0.999 | $129.3 | 9d ago |
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| sell |
| 131.11 |
| $0.982 |
| $128.75 |
| Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.995 | $11 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 129 | $0.960 | $123.84 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 145.09 | $0.962 | $139.58 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 145.93 | $0.956 | $139.51 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 145.94 | $0.958 | $139.81 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 141.65 | $0.987 | $139.81 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 141.66 | $0.989 | $140.1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 140.09 | $0.968 | $135.68 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 137.19 | $0.989 | $135.68 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 137.2 | $0.985 | $135.14 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 140.48 | $0.962 | $135.14 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 140.49 | $0.969 | $136.13 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?Yes | sell | 143.3 | $0.950 | $136.14 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?Yes | buy | 143.3 | $0.972 | $139.29 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 148.18 | $0.940 | $139.29 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 148.18 | $0.930 | $137.81 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 203.51 | $0.972 | $197.81 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 203.51 | $0.959 | $195.23 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 221.85 | $0.880 | $195.23 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 221.85 | $0.949 | $210.54 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 210.54 | $0.975 | $205.19 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 213.97 | $0.959 | $205.2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 213.98 | $0.900 | $192.58 | Oct 2, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 192.57 | $0.975 | $187.76 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 193.77 | $0.969 | $187.76 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 193.77 | $0.880 | $170.52 | May 8, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 170.52 | $0.950 | $161.99 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?Yes | sell | 162.64 | $0.996 | $161.99 | May 1, 2025 |
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 162.65 | $0.964 | $156.79 | Mar 10, 2025 |