Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | sell | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $5.59 |
| +$0.59 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3.16 | +$0.16 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.790 | $1.31 | +$0.11 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.058 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.600 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 2.17 | $0.460 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
 Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | Dune 3 | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 4.05 |
| $0.740 |
| $3 |
| 24d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.7 | $0.270 | $3.43 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 52.79 | $0.133 | $7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.110 | $0.73 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.727 | $7.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.364 | $4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 2.85 | $0.520 | $1.48 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.610 | $1.13 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - February 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.84 | $0.230 | $2.26 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.77 | $0.310 | $3.03 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.78 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.912 | $6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionYes | sell | 1.17 | $0.880 | $1.03 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.570 | $1.07 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.260 | $1.13 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.180 | $1.13 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.790 | $1.2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | sell | 2.7 | $0.510 | $1.38 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionYes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto EditionNo | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionNo | sell | 3.45 | $0.650 | $2.24 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 15.38 | $0.180 | $2.77 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.080 | $2.29 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 31.76 | $0.160 | $5.08 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.54 | $0.630 | $6.64 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionNo | buy | 3.46 | $0.460 | $1.59 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | sell | 2.94 | $0.540 | $1.59 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.54 | $0.350 | $3.69 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.043 | $1.93 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |