Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.550 | $4.28 | +$1.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.820 |
| $3.98 |
| -$0.13 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | Yes | 19 | $0.194 | $0.86 | -$2.82 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.410 | $0.8 | -$1.25 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.22 | -$0.79 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.940 |
| $4.7 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Team Falcons win IEM Krakow 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.175 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.973 | $3.24 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 7.84 | $0.510 | $4 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Opener of the Year awardYes | sell | 2.35 | $0.900 | $2.12 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.019 | $0.1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.984 | $1.14 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.690 | $1.44 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.570 | $1.29 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.890 | $2.87 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.450 | $1.18 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Angel" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Melania" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Yes | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Yes | buy | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.910 | $1.51 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Depression" while tripping balls?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.957 | $3.63 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Stress" or "DNA" or "Sexual" while tripping balls?Yes | sell | 3.65 | $0.920 | $3.36 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Depression" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Stress" or "DNA" or "Sexual" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Longevity Score" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |