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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 341.87 | $0.788 | $264.95 | -$4.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | 2h ago |
|
| No |
| 104.24 |
| $0.806 |
| $90.69 |
| +$6.63 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 60 | $0.826 | $51.9 | +$2.36 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 59.99 | $0.813 | $50.09 | +$1.3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 63.01 | $0.526 | $35.6 | +$2.46 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 100 | $0.400 | $31.5 | -$8.5 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 42.19 | $0.687 | $30.16 | +$1.19 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 42.39 | $0.580 | $27.34 | +$2.76 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $16.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 48.2 | $0.330 | $12.29 | -$3.61 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 20 | $0.420 | $11.3 | +$2.9 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.370 | $10.65 | -$0.45 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 35.01 | $0.294 | $9.63 | -$0.66 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.198 | $9.38 | -$5.48 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 6.59 | $0.906 | $6.38 | +$0.41 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.530 | $5.45 | +$0.15 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.302 | $4.59 | +$3.08 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 60 | $0.128 | $4.2 | -$3.51 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | Yes | 149 | $0.009 | $2.98 | +$1.71 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.170 | $2.3 | -$1.1 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 50 | $0.053 | $2.07 | -$0.57 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.028 | $1.2 | -$1.56 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $1.18 | -$1.33 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.48 | $0.630 | $1.1 | +$0.17 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 15 | $0.055 | $0.98 | +$0.15 |
| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.690 |
| $6.21 |
| 16h ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.910 | $13.65 | 16h ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 117.75 | $0.410 | $48.28 | 18h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | 19h ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | sell | 40.12 | $0.770 | $30.89 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 31.49 | $0.420 | $13.23 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 118.1 | $0.350 | $41.33 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 53.4 | $0.820 | $43.79 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.210 | $35.7 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 673.18 | $0.250 | $168.3 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | 1d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 89.87 | $0.280 | $25.16 | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 74.98 | $0.690 | $51.74 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 414.1 | $0.789 | $326.55 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.700 | $65.8 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 36.29 | $0.690 | $25.04 | 2d ago |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 79.87 | $0.250 | $19.97 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.230 | $2.13 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.210 | $5.25 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 236 | $0.130 | $30.68 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.350 | $6.99 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.450 | $6.3 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.730 | $5.39 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.690 | $8.28 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.670 | $11.75 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 27.22 | $0.620 | $16.88 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 7.48 | $0.750 | $5.61 | 4d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.770 | $11.55 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 44.88 | $0.380 | $17.05 | 5d ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.890 | $49.84 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 5d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 55 | $0.450 | $24.75 | 5d ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.15 | $0.859 | $19.88 | 5d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 57.17 | $0.890 | $50.88 | 5d ago |