Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 17.65K | $0.850 | $15.26K | +$264.72 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.088 | $263.3 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 27.59K |
| $0.452 |
| $12.55K |
| +$71.48 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6.87K | $0.728 | $5.87K | +$869.69 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 4.89K | $0.920 | $4.78K | +$278.81 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 5.74K | $0.729 | $4.53K | +$347.99 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 4.42K | $0.809 | $3.68K | +$103.4 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 3.63K | $0.276 | $3.09K | +$2.09K |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 2.87K | $0.870 | $2.72K | +$215.52 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.81K | $0.800 | $2.38K | +$127.68 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.35K | $0.498 | $2.33K | -$2.83K |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 3.21K | $0.660 | $2.14K | +$16.01 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 2.23K | $0.742 | $2.14K | +$484.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 1.12K | $0.890 | $1.03K | +$28.09 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.860 | $1.03K | -$6 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.71K | $0.350 | $771.43 | -$1.23K |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 995.25 | $0.371 | $771.32 | +$402.32 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 2.86K | $0.350 | $757.14 | -$242.85 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 735.29 | $0.680 | $533.09 | +$33.09 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 499.96 | $0.670 | $434.97 | +$99.99 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 445.44 | $0.449 | $385.31 | +$185.31 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 378.02 | $0.585 | $298.63 | +$77.63 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 362.32 | $0.690 | $269.93 | +$19.93 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 284.09 | $0.880 | $248.58 | -$1.42 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 441.89 | $0.679 | $201.06 | -$98.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 678.57 | $0.295 | $91.61 | -$108.39 |
| buy |
| 788.48 |
| $0.170 |
| $134.04 |
| 4d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.410 | $750 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.430 | $713.52 | 9d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 735.29 | $0.680 | $500 | 10d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.890 | $1K | 10d ago |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.860 | $1.03K | 10d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2.86K | $0.350 | $1K | 10d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 112.82 | $0.780 | $88 | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 17.65K | $0.850 | $15K | 10d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 284.09 | $0.880 | $250 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 2.87K | $0.870 | $2.5K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 4.89K | $0.920 | $4.5K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M | sell | 765.83 | $0.470 | $359.97 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M | buy | 765.83 | $0.653 | $500 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.663 | $1.6K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.38K | $0.975 | $5.25K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.146 | $300 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.53K | $0.099 | $550 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.190 | $250 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 3.04K | $0.823 | $2.5K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.63K | $0.760 | $2K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.499 | $1K | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.412 | $1K | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 378.79 | $0.660 | $250 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.760 | $1.25K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 2.12K | $0.944 | $2K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 5.74K | $0.871 | $5K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3.66K | $0.710 | $2.6K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 571.43 | $0.700 | $400 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 9.93K | $0.200 | $1.99K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.220 | $2.2K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.221 | $2.21K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.221 | $2.21K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.231 | $2.31K | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.155 | $1.55K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.167 | $1.67K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.167 | $1.67K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.174 | $1.74K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.175 | $1.75K | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt | buy | 17.05K | $0.880 | $15K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 24.03K | $0.057 | $1.37K | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.85K | $0.050 | $692.44 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 16.5K | $0.040 | $660 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 13.5K | $0.210 | $2.84K | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.69K | $0.942 | $1.59K | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.27K | $0.809 | $7.5K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.31K | $0.038 | $500 | Jul 2, 2026 |