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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 252.01 | $0.994 | $250.5 | 14h ago |
 |
| buy |
| 249.09 |
| $0.992 |
| $247.1 |
| 5d ago |
 Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 9.21 | $0.999 | $9.2 | 10d ago |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 9.47 | $0.999 | $9.46 | 10d ago |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 9.73 | $0.999 | $9.72 | 10d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 201.33 | $0.980 | $197.3 | 13d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.963 | $11.3 | 15d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.998 | $2.5 | 17d ago |
 Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | sell | 198.94 | $0.999 | $198.74 | 18d ago |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | 19d ago |
| Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | buy | 198.95 | $0.998 | $198.6 | 23d ago |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.998 | $9.2 | 23d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?No | buy | 6.65 | $0.992 | $6.6 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 214.26 | $0.996 | $213.4 | 26d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.992 | $3.7 | 26d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 6.97 | $0.990 | $6.9 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.984 | $2.2 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 223.89 | $0.971 | $217.5 | 29d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 216.08 | $0.958 | $207 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 206.93 | $0.995 | $205.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 205.91 | $0.999 | $205.7 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 8.22 | $0.997 | $8.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.995 | $1.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 215.32 | $0.999 | $215.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 215.21 | $0.993 | $213.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.994 | $3.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.998 | $3.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 126.05 | $0.998 | $125.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.998 | $17.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No | buy | 25.33 | $0.991 | $25.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in July?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.995 | $2.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.996 | $4.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.997 | $4.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.999 | $4.7 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.991 | $8.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.992 | $5.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.997 | $4.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.996 | $3.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.25 | $0.996 | $12.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.999 | $2.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June?No | buy | 76.73 | $0.998 | $76.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June?No | buy | 17.03 | $0.998 | $17 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No | buy | 22.65 | $0.998 | $22.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?No | buy | 46.92 | $0.995 | $46.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 55.63 | $0.994 | $55.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 15.51 | $0.993 | $15.4 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Cap FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 205.15 | $0.989 | $202.8 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.996 | $6.2 | Jun 26, 2026 |