Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.070 |
| $2.1 |
| Aug 6, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.670 | $3.16 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.185 | $9.25 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.201 | $10.05 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?No | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.570 | $11.97 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 11 | $0.360 | $3.96 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Trump trade deal before August?No | buy | 120 | $0.020 | $2.4 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?No | sell | 90 | $0.043 | $3.87 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Dome" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on June 26?Down | buy | 60 | $0.018 | $1.08 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 26?Down | buy | 60 | $0.019 | $1.14 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 26?Down | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Kai and iShowSpeed beat Super Mario Bros by noon Thursday?Yes | buy | 181.99 | $0.005 | $0.91 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Kai and iShowSpeed beat Super Mario Bros by noon Thursday?Yes | buy | 298 | $0.005 | $1.49 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Kai and iShowSpeed beat Super Mario Bros by noon Thursday?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?No | buy | 19.04 | $0.430 | $8.19 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.013 | $1.69 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.051 | $2.14 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.032 | $3.2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 198 | $0.009 | $1.78 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US strike on Iran on June 23?Yes | buy | 129.12 | $0.120 | $15.49 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 104.96 | $0.098 | $10.29 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 101.83 | $0.103 | $10.49 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.180 | $7.38 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 86.5 | $0.160 | $13.84 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.287 | $11.77 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.241 | $12.05 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.19 | $0.660 | $7.39 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?No | buy | 90 | $0.022 | $1.98 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.060 | $1.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.060 | $4.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |