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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 561.8 | $0.890 | $502.81 | +$2.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 212.54 | $0.958 | $203.55 | 11d ago |
| No |
| 602.41 |
| $0.830 |
| $496.99 |
| -$3.01 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 535.93 | $0.933 | $495.73 | -$4.27 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 600.6 | $0.833 | $417.41 | -$82.59 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31? | No | 220.72 | $0.906 | $201.96 | +$1.96 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 217.93 | $0.918 | $88.91 | -$111.09 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | Yes | 143.94 | $0.834 | $17.27 | -$102.73 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.28 | $0.860 | $0.27 | +$0.03 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No| sell |
| 1.06K |
| $0.957 |
| $1.02K |
| 12d ago |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 581.12 | $0.977 | $567.91 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 593.47 | $0.900 | $534.17 | 18d ago |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?No | buy | 220.72 | $0.906 | $200 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 600.6 | $0.833 | $500 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.940 | $1K | 27d ago |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 581.4 | $0.860 | $500 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 212.55 | $0.941 | $200 | 27d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 535.93 | $0.933 | $500 | 27d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 602.41 | $0.830 | $500 | 28d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 217.92 | $0.918 | $200 | 28d ago |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 212.56 | $0.941 | $200 | 28d ago |
 Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 105.64 | $0.947 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 561.8 | $0.890 | $500 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 593.47 | $0.843 | $500 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 279.63 | $0.720 | $201.33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 302.64 | $0.750 | $226.98 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 129.87 | $0.780 | $101.3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 139.7 | $0.905 | $126.39 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 302.63 | $0.760 | $230 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.940 | $213.63 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 393.68 | $0.745 | $293.46 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.176 | $10.67 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.92 | $0.400 | $1.97 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | sell | 302.58 | $0.341 | $103.31 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 411.72 | $0.800 | $329.46 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 120.48 | $0.860 | $103.61 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.906 | $100.67 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | sell | 117.58 | $0.860 | $101.08 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 123.45 | $0.820 | $101.23 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.820 | $102.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 60.97 | $0.850 | $51.82 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 118.48 | $0.873 | $103.39 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 176.3 | $0.610 | $107.54 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.840 | $113.51 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No | buy | 12.52 | $0.799 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.28 | $0.859 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 118.48 | $0.844 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.43 | $0.859 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |