Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.928 | $1.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.12 |
| $0.959 |
| $2.99 |
| Apr 25, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.32 | $0.890 | $2.95 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 300.3 | $0.998 | $299.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 300.3 | $0.999 | $300 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 15.26 | $0.983 | $15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 16?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.700 | $0.97 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 17?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.700 | $0.97 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 17?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.730 | $0.97 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.470 | $0.95 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.960 | $6.93 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 51.76 | $0.966 | $50 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-FrancePantoja | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraTopuria | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Mariners vs. RangersRangers | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Mets vs. PiratesPirates | buy | 9.09 | $0.440 | $4 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 61.8 | $0.890 | $55 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $25m?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 24.59K | $0.002 | $50 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.002 | $50 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 30m Bluesky users in December?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.975 | $19.58 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?Mufasa | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Elon Musk arrested in 2024?No | buy | 50.51 | $0.990 | $50 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 2.01K | $0.996 | $2K | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Sunday?No | buy | 52.3 | $0.956 | $50 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.900 | $60 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?No | buy | 39.29 | $0.840 | $33 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Base airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Linea airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will US annual inflation be 2.6% or less in December?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.930 | $25 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Fury beat Usyk?Yes | buy | 32.5 | $0.400 | $13 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.997 | $2K | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.974 | $4 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Solana above $145 on October 18?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will NVDA be the largest company by mcap on September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will MSFT be the largest company by mcap on September 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.330 | $4 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 666 | $0.994 | $662 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 676.77 | $0.996 | $674.14 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 677.53 | $0.995 | $674.14 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 677.53 | $0.996 | $674.82 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 22.79 | $0.999 | $22.77 | Jul 14, 2024 |