Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 600 | $0.287 | $161.4 | -$10.8 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-07-18?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.985 |
| $4.93 |
| May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | May 29, 2026 |
 Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.005 | $9.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.3K | $0.003 | $18.91 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.83K | $0.003 | $8.48 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.81K | $0.003 | $14.44 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.82K | $0.003 | $14.45 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.08K | $0.003 | $12.23 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.42K | $0.003 | $13.26 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.3K | $0.003 | $18.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.003 | $9.6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.1K | $0.003 | $12.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.003 | $3.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.9K | $0.003 | $14.7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.8K | $0.003 | $14.4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.003 | $9.6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.3K | $0.003 | $18.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.1K | $0.003 | $12.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.003 | $3.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.9K | $0.003 | $14.7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.003 | $15.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.1K | $0.003 | $6.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.003 | $9.6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.3K | $0.003 | $18.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.003 | $3.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.9K | $0.003 | $14.7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.003 | $15.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.1K | $0.003 | $6.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.1K | $0.003 | $12.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.003 | $15.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.1K | $0.003 | $6.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.003 | $3.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.7K | $0.003 | $14.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1K | $0.954 | $954 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 399.37 | $0.951 | $379.8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.003 | $7.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |