Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.930 | $1.66 | Jul 2, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 41.67 |
| $0.024 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.06 |
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.015 | $0.63 | -$0.27 |
| sell |
| 2.75 |
| $0.830 |
| $2.28 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 4.97 | $0.420 | $2.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 7.12 | $0.870 | $6.19 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | sell | 7.53 | $0.986 | $7.42 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.68 | $0.780 | $5.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.130 | $1.08 | Jul 2, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 7.85 | $0.390 | $3.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.540 | $5.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.97 | $0.920 | $9.17 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.242 | $2.42 | Jul 2, 2026 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.500 | $5.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.83 | $0.275 | $3.25 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 13.22 | $0.290 | $3.83 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.36 | $0.287 | $3.83 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes | sell | 13.57 | $0.260 | $3.53 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 16.47 | $0.510 | $8.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.44 | $0.250 | $4.36 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.068 | $1.36 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 26.32 | $0.126 | $3.32 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.87 | $0.200 | $5.77 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 35.1 | $0.138 | $4.84 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 42.15 | $0.020 | $0.84 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 52.72 | $0.022 | $1.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.995 | $0.41 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.947 | $0.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.860 | $0.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.993 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.993 | $1.11 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.950 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.981 | $1.14 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.848 | $1.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.760 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.790 | $1.16 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | sell | 3.31 | $0.840 | $2.78 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.943 | $4.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.604 | $3.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.890 | $4.44 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.890 | $4.73 | Jun 30, 2026 |