Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 9.7 | $0.062 | $0.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 9.71 |
| $0.103 |
| $1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.899 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
US strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27?Up | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
X relaunches Vine before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Google's Wiz acquisition blocked before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Trump tariffs Apple before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |