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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 2.7 |
| $0.370 |
| $1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 |
US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $122,000 on July 21?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 23?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.630 | $1.34 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Harvard international students ban ended before August?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.940 | $3.97 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.170 | $0.43 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.163 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.307 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?3000 | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?No | sell | 4.85 | $0.990 | $4.8 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes | sell | 11.95 | $0.032 | $0.38 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran in July?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.810 | $2.89 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Khamenei seen in public before July?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,500 on June 20?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.960 | $7.86 | Jun 20, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.537 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
ETH flipped in 2025?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Travis Scott respond to Pusha T dissing him by July 20th?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,500 on June 20?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?No | buy | 4.86 | $0.618 | $3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes | buy | 11.95 | $0.251 | $3 | Jun 19, 2025 |