Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.360 | $9.61 | +$5.61 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 6.76 |
| $0.740 |
| $5.84 |
| +$0.84 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11.04 | $0.272 | $5.07 | +$2.07 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.028 | $4.88 | -$2.13 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 31.91 | $0.094 | $4.18 | +$1.18 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 4.48 | $0.670 | $4.05 | +$1.05 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3.92 | +$0.92 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 11.53 | $0.260 | $3.81 | +$0.81 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.150 | $3.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 102.41 | $0.088 | $3.43 | -$5.57 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.39 | $0.371 | $2.71 | +$0.71 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 5.82 | $0.516 | $2.71 | -$0.29 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.14 | $0.269 | $2.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 161.29 | $0.031 | $2.66 | -$2.34 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 28.97 | $0.162 | $1.88 | -$2.82 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 34.52 | $0.058 | $0.85 | -$1.15 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 78.95 | $0.038 | $0.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.028 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.55 | -$1.45 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 65.53 | $0.076 | $0.52 | -$4.48 |
| buy |
| 78.95 |
| $0.038 |
| $3 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.043 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.53 | $0.260 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.393 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.39 | $0.371 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.234 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.67 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.031 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.028 | $7 | Feb 2, 2026 |