Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 25.64 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.03 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETDown | buy | 6.61 | $0.150 | $0.99 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ETUp | buy | 17.65 | $0.030 | $0.53 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.93 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 164.21 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?Yes | buy | 54.78 | $0.091 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.273 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $106K on June 14 at 5 PM ET?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on June 14 at 5 PM ET?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will the fight go the distance?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.991 | $12.7 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will the fight end in Round 1?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will the fight go the distance?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Yes | sell | 379.06 | $0.021 | $7.83 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?Yes | buy | 357.32 | $0.028 | $10 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.750 | $1.97 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.022 | $0.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |