Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 130.91 | $0.750 | $85.09 | -$13.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.660 | $42.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 263.16 |
| $0.190 |
| $77.63 |
| +$27.63 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.600 | $67.08 | +$17.08 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 108.7 | $0.460 | $57.07 | +$7.07 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 204.08 | $0.245 | $29.49 | -$20.51 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.430 |
| $43 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.680 | $67.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 33.5 | $0.540 | $18.09 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.731 | $233.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.179 | $89.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 207 | $0.370 | $76.59 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.328 | $81.88 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.412 | $103.13 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.620 | $99.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.270 | $108 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 29.72 | $0.530 | $15.75 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 53.78 | $0.722 | $38.84 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.021 | $0.53 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.957 | $44.02 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 25 | $0.830 | $20.75 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.930 | $3.73 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.807 | $40.35 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.916 | $20.15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.968 | $5.01 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.86 | $0.570 | $25 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.630 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.450 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?Yes | buy | 49.02 | $0.510 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.245 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 80.73 | $0.602 | $48.56 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.09 | $0.249 | $19.92 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 57.89 | $0.864 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Mar 17, 2026 |