Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 30.56 | $0.654 | $23.99 | +$3.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.900 | $24.32 | 15h ago |
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| Yes |
| 59.53 |
| $0.336 |
| $23.52 |
| +$3.52 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 29.33 | $0.682 | $22.99 | +$2.99 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 24.1 | $0.830 | $21.93 | +$1.93 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 25.32 | $0.790 | $21.9 | +$1.9 |
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.740 | $21.62 | +$1.62 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.99 | $0.381 | $21.1 | +$5.1 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 29.54 | $0.677 | $20.83 | +$0.83 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | No | 23.68 | $0.845 | $20.81 | +$0.81 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 29.85 | $0.670 | $19.25 | -$0.75 |
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.480 | $14.53 | -$0.47 |
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | No | 33.33 | $0.600 | $6.5 | -$13.5 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | No | 35.71 | $0.560 | $3.57 | -$16.43 |
| sell |
| 21.73 |
| $0.920 |
| $19.99 |
| 11d ago |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.890 | $22.25 | 11d ago |
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.969 | $33.41 | 11d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 16d ago |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | 19d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | 21d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | 21d ago |
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | 21d ago |
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 25.51 | $0.999 | $25.48 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | 22d ago |
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | 22d ago |
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | 22d ago |
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Yes | sell | 54.05 | $0.350 | $18.92 | 22d ago |
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | 22d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.95 | $0.915 | $22.83 | 22d ago |
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 59.53 | $0.336 | $20 | 24d ago |
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 25.51 | $0.784 | $20 | 24d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 30.56 | $0.654 | $20 | 24d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.890 | $26.97 | 24d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 43.01 | $0.920 | $39.57 | 25d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | 26d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40 | 26d ago |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | 26d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | 26d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.920 | $24.53 | 26d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.993 | $24.22 | 26d ago |
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes | sell | 34.78 | $0.211 | $7.33 | 26d ago |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | sell | 23.29 | $0.510 | $11.88 | 27d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.96 | $0.601 | $15 | 28d ago |
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | 28d ago |
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Yes | buy | 34.78 | $0.575 | $20 | 28d ago |
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | sell | 28.98 | $0.999 | $28.95 | 28d ago |
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.999 | $29.38 | 28d ago |
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 22.5 | $0.889 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 32.79 | $0.690 | $22.63 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.84 | $0.570 | $17.57 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.920 | $24.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 23.29 | $0.720 | $16.77 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 66.54 | $0.270 | $17.97 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 28.84 | $0.290 | $8.36 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 25.97 | $0.981 | $25.48 | Aug 2, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.320 | $11.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |