Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | $0.453 | $2.36 | -$2.4 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Jul 24, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.999 |
| $5 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jul 18, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?No | sell | 111 | $0.994 | $110.33 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?No | buy | 111 | $0.986 | $109.45 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 106 | $0.998 | $105.79 | Jun 27, 2026 |
Will Steven Hill advance from the CA-37 primary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.988 | $49.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will John Thompson Parker advance from the CA-37 primary election?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.990 | $26.99 | Jun 4, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?No | buy | 100 | $0.944 | $94.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Eugene Weems advance from the CA-33 primary election?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.989 | $10.68 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 168 | $0.069 | $11.59 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in June?No | buy | 13.49 | $0.986 | $13.31 | May 30, 2026 |
Will another outcome occur in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?No | sell | 8.98 | $0.999 | $8.97 | May 28, 2026 |
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.963 | $5.39 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.987 | $11.84 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | May 25, 2026 |
Will another outcome occur in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.995 | $8.94 | May 25, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.200 | $227.73 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.13 | $0.209 | $15.5 | May 24, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.001 | $1.11 | May 24, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.420 | $2.31 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.996 | $1.11K | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.996 | $1.1K | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.5 | May 23, 2026 |
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.987 | $7.6 | May 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | May 15, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | sell | 130 | $0.985 | $128.05 | May 12, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 130 | $0.970 | $126.1 | May 10, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No | sell | 125.99 | $0.971 | $122.34 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?No | buy | 48 | $0.990 | $47.51 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Maduro" this week?No | buy | 55.86 | $0.990 | $55.3 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Warsh" this week?No | buy | 12.44 | $0.990 | $12.32 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Russia" this week?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | May 3, 2026 |
Trump out as President by May 31?No | sell | 126 | $0.992 | $124.99 | May 2, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No | buy | 111.95 | $0.994 | $111.27 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?No | buy | 111.68 | $0.997 | $111.32 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.958 | $11.69 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 10.6 | $0.999 | $10.59 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?No | buy | 8.81 | $0.996 | $8.77 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.998 | $15.47 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | sell | 32 | $0.991 | $31.71 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.998 | $7.68 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.998 | $10.18 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.998 | $7.26 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.997 | $15.45 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.988 | $8.89 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.997 | $8.97 | Mar 26, 2026 |