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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | No | 3.33 | $0.600 | $3.32 | +$1.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 3m ago |
|
| No |
| 3.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $3.32 |
| +$1.32 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | No | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2.52 | +$0.52 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3.75 | $0.480 | $2.04 | +$0.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.610 | $1.97 | +$0.14 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.96 | +$0.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.5 | $0.480 | $1.94 | +$0.26 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 2.82 | $0.710 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | No | 3.7 | $0.540 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.89 | +$0.27 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 2.74 | $0.730 | $1.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.65 | +$0.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $1.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.54 | -$0.23 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09? | No | 5 | $0.200 | $0.98 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.35 | $0.200 | $0.92 | -$0.35 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 | Under | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $1 |
| 53m ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETUp | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 11h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETDown | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.285 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.794 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | 16d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 16d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.432 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 17d ago |