Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 597 | $0.819 | $510.44 | +$21.6 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 262.5 | $0.140 | $36.75 | 4h ago |
| No |
| 253.15 |
| $0.913 |
| $244.8 |
| +$13.69 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.660 | $173 | +$41 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.025 | $106 | +$6 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 104.34 | $0.710 | $94.95 | +$20.87 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 228 | $0.659 | $76.38 | -$73.9 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 50.01 | $0.820 | $23.75 | -$17.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.420 | $22.5 | -$19.5 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 150 | $0.177 | $19.65 | -$6.97 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.110 | $16.5 | -$16.5 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 100.81 | $0.168 | $14.11 | -$2.85 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.080 | $11 | -$5 |
| sell |
| 302.47 |
| $0.018 |
| $5.45 |
| 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 345.69 | $0.289 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.620 | $30.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.178 | $26.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 55.79 | $0.720 | $40.17 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.510 | $9.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.840 | $126 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.320 | $4.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.190 | $2.28 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.19 | $0.230 | $5.1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 196 | $0.220 | $43.12 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.180 | $6.3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 28 | $0.037 | $1.04 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 73 | $0.037 | $2.7 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.84 | $0.350 | $8.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.5 | $0.400 | $9.4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.97 | $0.510 | $101.98 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.740 | $111 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.65 | $0.160 | $2.66 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 459 | $0.170 | $78.03 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.160 | $4.53 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.61 | $0.171 | $8.15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 2.37 | $0.025 | $0.06 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 93.67 | $0.079 | $7.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |