Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 30.26 | $0.991 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 301.5 |
| $0.993 |
| $299.39 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.996 | $14.99 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 301.51 | $0.995 | $300 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.81 | $0.961 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.002 | $1.33 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Dr Viliami Uasike Latu be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on July 4?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on July 4?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 15.52 | $0.580 | $9 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Ohio State vs. Notre DameNotre Dame | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Ohio State vs. Notre DameNotre Dame | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 30-34 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.909 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.899 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Saints vs. GiantsSaints | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Raiders vs. BuccaneersRaiders | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Browns vs. SteelersBrowns | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 $COIN added to S&P 500 in 2024?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Real Betis win La Liga?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.997 | $1.35K | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Thunder vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Hornets vs. KnicksHornets | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Hornets vs. KnicksHornets | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 Will someone else be the next President of Ghana?No | buy | 81.24 | $0.997 | $81 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Pantoja vs. AsakuraAsakura | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Rakhmonov vs. GarryGarry | buy | 28 | $0.250 | $7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Real Betis win La Liga?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.998 | $1.35K | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?No | buy | 33.48 | $0.088 | $2.96 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.972 | $2.87 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Rockets vs. BullsRockets | buy | 2.88 | $0.660 | $1.9 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Solana above $130 on September 13?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Aleo airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Aleo airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Puffer airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will Shark Cat reach $1b first?No | sell | 889.03 | $0.995 | $884.58 | Jul 6, 2024 |