Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.065 | $0.66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 10.2 |
| $0.098 |
| $1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.925 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
US strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.686 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Google's Wiz acquisition blocked before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
CHIPS Act repealed before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Bitcoin all time high in April?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will ETH hard fork before May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high in April?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Solana all time high in April?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will SOL flip ETH before May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will Ethereum Foundation be liquidated in March?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |