Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.19 |
| $0.955 |
| $4.06 |
| +$0.06 |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 2.11 | $0.949 | $2 | +$0 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.700 | $1.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.28 | $0.610 | $1.69 | -$0.31 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.858 | $1.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.440 | $1.11 | -$0.89 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.86 | $0.541 | $0.33 | -$0.68 |
| buy |
| 1.85 |
| $0.540 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?No | buy | 25.15 | $0.994 | $25 | 7d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 7d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 7d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 7d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 45.18 | $0.999 | $45.13 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.140 | $0.35 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 45.18 | $0.996 | $45 | 15d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.959 | $1.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.910 | $1.47 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.219 | $0.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.546 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.560 | $0.88 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.930 | $2.19 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.782 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 9.77 | $0.768 | $7.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 2.36 | $0.230 | $0.54 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.949 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 12.62 | $0.042 | $0.53 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.961 | $3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.590 | $3.56 | Jul 25, 2026 |