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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.45 | $0.042 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.090 | $1.26 | Jun 22, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.220 |
| $8.8 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.200 | $25.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.056 | $0.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 61.99 | $0.058 | $3.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 56 | $0.910 | $50.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 62 | $0.510 | $31.62 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 51 | $0.956 | $48.76 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.248 | $12.15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.986 | $11.83 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.800 | $41.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.390 | $44.07 | Jun 2, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.390 | $54.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 24.71 | $0.037 | $0.91 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.031 | $2.33 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.259 | $18.91 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.221 | $34.92 | May 31, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.510 | $19.89 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.070 | $1.89 | May 30, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 6 | $0.590 | $3.54 | May 30, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.590 | $3.54 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.021 | $0.71 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.023 | $0.71 | May 29, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 22 | $0.852 | $18.74 | May 29, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.876 | $19.27 | May 29, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.570 | $13.68 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.042 | $1.85 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 46 | $0.958 | $44.07 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.530 | $49.82 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.869 | $1.52 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.996 | $1.65 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.986 | $1.73 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.992 | $1.65 | May 13, 2025 |
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?No | sell | 12 | $0.038 | $0.46 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?No | sell | 6 | $0.034 | $0.2 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.011 | $0.13 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.011 | $0.43 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.011 | $0.56 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 31 | $0.874 | $27.09 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 31 | $0.872 | $27.03 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?No | buy | 18 | $0.059 | $1.06 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No | sell | 31 | $0.985 | $30.54 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 34 | $0.896 | $30.46 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.007 | $0.29 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.007 | $0.14 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 29 | $0.990 | $28.71 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.013 | $1.14 | Apr 7, 2025 |