Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11.73 | +$0.73 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.15 |
| $0.930 |
| $2 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.999 | $9.79 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.910 | $12 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.998 | $5.06 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $270 in November?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.998 | $2.97 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.958 | $2 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.986 | $1.39 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.948 | $12 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.980 | $11 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel in May?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.998 | $1.43 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.972 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.790 | $1.2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.890 | $1.2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.970 | $1.1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.010 | $0.25 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Jan 10-17?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.010 | $0.23 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.004 | $0.16 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Cybertruck explosion perp charged by Wednesday?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.960 | $1.3 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 20-27?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.020 | $0.48 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.910 | $0.91 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.850 | $0.6 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 13-20?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.012 | $0.3 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.769 | $18.45 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 6-13?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.010 | $0.25 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 0.41 | $0.979 | $0.4 | Dec 1, 2024 |