Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 287.51 | $0.451 | $103.22 | -$26.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | sell | 257.73 | $0.986 | $254.1 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 420.71 |
| $0.701 |
| $88.35 |
| -$206.52 |
| buy |
| 247.65 |
| $0.999 |
| $247.4 |
| 3d ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | sell | 19.64 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 224.17 | $0.999 | $223.95 | 3d ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Fold" or "Folding" or "Foldable" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 14.33 | $0.930 | $13.33 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 140.17 | $0.740 | $103.73 | 3d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | buy | 257.73 | $0.928 | $239.25 | 3d ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | sell | 59.3 | $0.414 | $24.55 | 3d ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | buy | 59.3 | $0.933 | $55.33 | 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 290.31 | $0.910 | $264.18 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | sell | 91.34 | $0.931 | $85.08 | 6d ago |
 Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | sell | 148.17 | $0.965 | $143.05 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 329.1 | $0.940 | $309.35 | 6d ago |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 87.28 | $0.041 | $3.55 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 91.34 | $0.011 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 60.89 | $0.010 | $0.61 | 6d ago |
 Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.932 | $987.98 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 271.11 | $0.867 | $235 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 63.08 | $0.650 | $41 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 477.37 | $0.337 | $160.86 | 8d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 531.58 | $0.019 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | 9d ago |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 300.1 | $0.920 | $276.09 | 9d ago |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.920 | $92.09 | 9d ago |
| Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?No | buy | 227.44 | $0.915 | $208.14 | 9d ago |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 152.35 | $0.908 | $138.34 | 9d ago |
| Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 330.13 | $0.350 | $115.55 | 9d ago |
| Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 300.1 | $0.910 | $273.09 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.13 | $0.830 | $16.71 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.700 | $210 | 9d ago |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.778 | $54.45 | 10d ago |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.800 | $112 | 10d ago |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 10d ago |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | 10d ago |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 97.26 | $0.936 | $91 | 10d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.618 | $92.64 | 10d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 499.48 | $0.965 | $482 | 10d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 227.73 | $0.041 | $9.31 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 244.06 | $0.040 | $9.77 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.08 | $0.897 | $94.26 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.16 | $0.950 | $7.75 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.926 | $55.58 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.918 | $68.87 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150.35 | $0.912 | $137.06 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 350.92 | $0.426 | $149.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 234.56 | $0.418 | $97.94 | 11d ago |
 Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 2?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | 11d ago |