Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.954 | $12 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 40.36 |
| $0.991 |
| $40 |
| May 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 65.45 | $0.992 | $64.93 | May 15, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.64 | $0.810 | $7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be between $419,000 and $423,000 on April 30?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 12.63 | $0.950 | $12 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 65.46 | $0.993 | $65 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Next US strike on Syria on December 17?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.990 | $2.1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Everton FC | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will The Smashing Machine win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.837 | $3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 17?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?No | sell | 8.31 | $0.984 | $8.18 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 12.94 | $0.900 | $11.65 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No | sell | 15.69 | $0.965 | $15.14 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.979 | $1.53 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.973 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.941 | $4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.94 | $0.850 | $11 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.884 | $6 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 7.63 | $0.917 | $7 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on November 21?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.978 | $5.33 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 21?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.949 | $6 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will NightCap Camera be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.922 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.982 | $7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No | buy | 15.7 | $0.955 | $14.99 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.993 | $7 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Cloudflare outage caused by state actor?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 20?Down | buy | 9.28 | $0.970 | $9 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 9.58 | $0.939 | $9 | Nov 20, 2025 |