Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 23.07 | $0.160 | $3.69 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.4 |
| $0.990 |
| $4.36 |
| Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 2.57 | $0.810 | $2.08 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 95.93 | $0.051 | $4.89 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 8.9 | $0.999 | $8.89 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 35.59 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.133 | $0.25 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.080 | $0.73 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.420 | $0.47 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 36-37°F on February 11?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.667 | $1.25 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.959 | $0.99 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?No | sell | 57.07 | $0.009 | $0.51 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.780 | $2.2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.951 | $1.22 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.052 | $0.13 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will average US gas price hit $3.50 in February?Yes | sell | 20.15 | $0.040 | $0.81 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Schoolboy Q perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.020 | $0.07 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | sell | 10.29 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.025 | $0.2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.003 | $0 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.005 | $0.02 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.790 | $4.21 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.890 | $1.07 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in February?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | sell | 1.7 | $0.600 | $1.02 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 22.03 | $0.320 | $7.05 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.440 | $1.49 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | buy | 10.29 | $0.340 | $3.5 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |