Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 100.19 | $0.827 | $97.14 | +$14.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.860 | $7.78 | May 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.510 |
| $6.75 |
| +$1.65 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 39.98 | $0.030 | $2.58 | +$1.38 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 42.86 | $0.140 | $1.65 | -$4.35 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.060 | $0.83 | -$2.18 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 30.77 | $0.130 | $0.54 | -$3.46 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.230 |
| $4.6 |
| May 11, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.34 | $0.530 | $3.89 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.107 | $5.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | sell | 18.51 | $0.670 | $12.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.169 | $1.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.829 | $16.58 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 15.68 | $0.638 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 9?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsMOUZ | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsMOUZ | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsMOUZ | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons | sell | 13.88 | $0.500 | $6.94 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 5?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 5?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ANatus Vincere | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ANatus Vincere | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 2?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 4?No | sell | 2 | $0.520 | $1.04 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 4?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.430 | $0.86 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 3?Yes | buy | 19.97 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 3?Yes | buy | 61.04 | $0.016 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 3?Yes | buy | 12.02 | $0.416 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?Yes | buy | 27.63 | $0.181 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 2?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.550 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 2?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 25?Yes | sell | 165.27 | $0.002 | $0.3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.657 | $13.14 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 25?Yes | buy | 40.27 | $0.124 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 24?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 24?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 16.67 | $0.190 | $3.17 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.550 | $6.7 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.022 | $1.35 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 21?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | sell | 3.57 | $0.700 | $2.5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.130 | $4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.140 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.660 | $11 | Jan 8, 2026 |