Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.025 |
| $1 |
| Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Woke" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.010 | $1.1 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.210 | $5.04 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.700 | $1.99 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?Yes | sell | 7.11 | $0.288 | $2.05 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.281 | $2 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.028 | $3 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.140 | $2.5 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneNo | sell | 7.14 | $0.820 | $5.85 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.140 | $1.5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.220 | $4.07 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.340 | $1.13 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.224 | $2.8 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 13.39 | $0.224 | $3 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.250 | $6 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.060 | $1.33 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 17.39 | $0.410 | $7.14 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.250 | $1.19 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 10.25 | $0.460 | $4.72 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JuneNo | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.250 | $3.75 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on June 10?No | sell | 4.6 | $0.730 | $3.36 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on June 10?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.700 | $3.22 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.999 | $3.22 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.450 | $1.45 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.230 | $4 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?No | buy | 55.83 | $0.036 | $2 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?Yes | sell | 137.61 | $0.058 | $7.98 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?No | buy | 20 | $0.042 | $0.84 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Dec 29, 2024 |