Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71.42 | $0.070 | $33.21 | +$28.21 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.997 | $32.68 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 57.47 |
| $0.087 |
| $5.83 |
| +$0.83 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 21.73 | $0.230 | $3.8 | -$1.2 |
 Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 227.27 | $0.022 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 16.55 | $0.278 | $3.46 | -$1.15 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $2.03 | -$2.97 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $1.48 | -$3.52 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | Yes | 74.62 | $0.066 | $1.27 | -$3.67 |
 Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.74 | $0.572 | $1.15 | -$3.85 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $1.05 | -$3.95 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 38.75 | $0.128 | $0.87 | -$4.11 |
 Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | Yes | 30.67 | $0.163 | $0.81 | -$4.19 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 12.22 | $0.409 | $0.62 | -$4.38 |
| sell |
| 36.84 |
| $0.993 |
| $36.58 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?Yes | buy | 138.88 | $0.033 | $4.56 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.42 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $4.98 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 51.02 | $0.096 | $4.92 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.73 | $0.230 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 294.11 | $0.017 | $4.9 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No | buy | 11.62 | $0.430 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 108.69 | $0.046 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $4.98 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.042 | $4.65 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.542 | $4.93 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?Yes | buy | 74.62 | $0.066 | $4.94 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.51 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.099 | $4.97 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | buy | 25.51 | $0.186 | $4.74 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.28 | $0.054 | $4.79 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.69 | $0.046 | $4.98 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 13.22 | $0.324 | $4.29 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.049 | $4.86 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 25.12 | $0.199 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.62 | $0.067 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $4.94 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.75 | $0.128 | $4.98 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.870 | $4.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 30.67 | $0.163 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.74 | $0.572 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.409 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.55 | $0.278 | $4.61 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.087 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Yes | buy | 131.57 | $0.038 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 153.84 | $0.130 | $20 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 63.49 | $0.314 | $19.95 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?Yes | buy | 117.64 | $0.160 | $18.85 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.699 | $20 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?Yes | buy | 31.94 | $0.625 | $19.96 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 26?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.359 | $17.94 | Mar 26, 2026 |