Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 177.03 | $0.230 | $100.91 | +$60.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.860 | $23.12 | 8h ago |
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| Yes |
| 479.12 |
| $0.080 |
| $74.26 |
| +$35.93 |
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 119.13 | $0.300 | $51.82 | +$16.08 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 260.86 | $0.140 | $50.87 | +$14.35 |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | Yes | 100.42 | $0.380 | $48.2 | +$10.04 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | No | 57.94 | $0.660 | $46.93 | +$8.69 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | SD | 54.59 | $0.700 | $44.76 | +$6.55 |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | No | 55.64 | $0.670 | $43.12 | +$5.84 |
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 130.71 | $0.280 | $41.17 | +$4.57 |
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 53.34 | $0.730 | $41.07 | +$2.13 |
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September? | No | 42.03 | $0.880 | $41 | +$4.01 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 43.3 | $0.910 | $40.77 | +$1.36 |
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 48 | $0.740 | $40.56 | +$5.04 |
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? | No | 40.11 | $0.955 | $40.01 | +$1.7 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 40.85 | $0.918 | $38.79 | +$1.29 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 205.58 | $0.190 | $38.03 | -$1.03 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 40.4 | $0.931 | $37.85 | +$0.24 |
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in September 2026? | No | 36.59 | $0.969 | $35.8 | +$0.35 |
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 47.24 | $0.720 | $33.78 | -$0.24 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.45K | $0.011 | $32.79 | -$5.18 |
Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | No | 39.22 | $0.900 | $32.75 | -$2.55 |
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | Yes | 69.48 | $0.550 | $32.66 | -$5.56 |
Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 47.23 | $0.820 | $32.59 | -$6.14 |
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | No | 55.33 | $0.630 | $31.26 | -$3.6 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 115.19 | $0.310 | $30.53 | -$5.18 |
| buy |
| 163.47 |
| $0.150 |
| $24.52 |
| 10h ago |
James Comey charges dropped by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.8 | $0.440 | $24.55 | 17h ago |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 406.33 | $0.090 | $36.57 | 1d ago |
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No | buy | 92.62 | $0.320 | $29.64 | 2d ago |
Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 39.22 | $0.900 | $35.3 | 2d ago |
Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.860 | $17.19 | 2d ago |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 30.8 | $0.690 | $21.25 | 3d ago |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 42.17 | $0.300 | $12.65 | 3d ago |
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 119.13 | $0.300 | $35.74 | 3d ago |
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 23.34 | $0.319 | $7.45 | 3d ago |
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 30 | $0.960 | $28.8 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 38.58 | $0.650 | $25.08 | 4d ago |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?No | buy | 46.75 | $0.640 | $29.92 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | buy | 10 | $0.111 | $1.11 | 4d ago |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 479.12 | $0.080 | $38.33 | 5d ago |
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.870 | $15.16 | 5d ago |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,600?No | buy | 40.78 | $0.950 | $38.74 | 5d ago |
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 69.48 | $0.550 | $38.21 | 5d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 115.19 | $0.310 | $35.71 | 5d ago |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 39.16 | $0.051 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 43.3 | $0.910 | $39.4 | 5d ago |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 205.58 | $0.190 | $39.06 | 5d ago |
Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 14 | $0.780 | $10.92 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.122 | $10.37 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 40.85 | $0.918 | $37.5 | 6d ago |
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | buy | 55.64 | $0.670 | $37.28 | 6d ago |
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 40.11 | $0.955 | $38.31 | 6d ago |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.650 | $2.6 | 6d ago |
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 40.9 | $0.880 | $35.99 | 6d ago |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 26.18 | $0.660 | $17.28 | 6d ago |
Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 45.58 | $0.260 | $11.85 | 7d ago |
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 53.34 | $0.730 | $38.94 | 7d ago |
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 130.71 | $0.280 | $36.6 | 7d ago |
Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 56.83 | $0.240 | $13.64 | 7d ago |
Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 47.23 | $0.820 | $38.73 | 7d ago |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.011 | $37.97 | 8d ago |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SD | buy | 54.59 | $0.700 | $38.21 | 8d ago |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 100.42 | $0.380 | $38.16 | 8d ago |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 260.86 | $0.140 | $36.52 | 8d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp | buy | 114.15 | $0.330 | $37.67 | 8d ago |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 16.29 | $0.024 | $0.39 | 8d ago |
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | buy | 122.82 | $0.280 | $34.39 | 8d ago |
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by September 30?No | buy | 16.78 | $0.880 | $14.77 | 8d ago |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.14 | $0.140 | $3.1 | 10d ago |
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 45.87 | $0.230 | $10.55 | 10d ago |
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 131.16 | $0.230 | $30.17 | 10d ago |
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.740 | $35.52 | 11d ago |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?Yes | buy | 41.57 | $0.880 | $36.58 | 11d ago |
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.730 | $11.64 | 11d ago |