Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 283.66 | $0.320 | $90.77 | Nov 23, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 78 |
| $0.988 |
| $77.06 |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 236.25 | $0.016 | $3.78 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 73.38 | $0.068 | $4.99 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 135.73 | $0.702 | $95.25 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.998 | $2.96 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 135.74 | $0.822 | $111.54 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 114.26 | $0.996 | $113.8 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 114.26 | $0.997 | $113.92 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 111.37 | $0.989 | $110.14 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.014 | $1.68 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 109.38 | $0.997 | $109.05 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 109.39 | $0.998 | $109.17 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 111.78 | $0.994 | $111.11 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 111.78 | $0.995 | $111.22 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.973 | $2.71 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 111.58 | $0.996 | $111.13 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 111.57 | $0.997 | $111.24 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 115.51 | $0.996 | $115.05 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 115.52 | $0.997 | $115.17 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 102.35 | $0.993 | $101.63 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 102.36 | $0.997 | $102.05 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 101.34 | $0.992 | $100.53 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No | buy | 12.53 | $0.999 | $12.52 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 101.35 | $0.993 | $100.64 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 110.14 | $0.993 | $109.37 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.998 | $1.45 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 110.14 | $0.994 | $109.48 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.998 | $3.15 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 107.39 | $0.993 | $106.64 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 107.39 | $0.994 | $106.75 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 80.67 | $0.997 | $80.43 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 13.36 | $0.994 | $13.28 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.998 | $6.49 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 73.54 | $0.996 | $73.25 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 73.54 | $0.997 | $73.32 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Nacionalista win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.999 | $6.09 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?No | buy | 73.02 | $0.997 | $72.8 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?No | buy | 8.38 | $0.999 | $8.37 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.999 | $1.97 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 36.48 | $0.997 | $36.37 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.998 | $5.91 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 36.48 | $0.998 | $36.41 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 37.85 | $0.999 | $37.81 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Johnson?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 37.86 | $0.999 | $37.82 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 13.35 | $0.996 | $13.3 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.999 | $8.76 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.998 | $12.33 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 41.76 | $0.998 | $41.68 | Apr 14, 2025 |