Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?No | buy | 108 | $0.440 | $47.52 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 20.08 |
| $0.270 |
| $5.42 |
| Nov 24, 2024 |
 Harris gets more Republican voters than Biden?No | sell | 95 | $0.996 | $94.62 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No | buy | 78.16 | $0.550 | $42.99 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?No | buy | 202.19 | $0.290 | $58.64 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.991 | $58.3 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?No | sell | 2.44K | $0.001 | $2.44 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 298.71 | $0.230 | $68.7 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?No | sell | 491 | $0.001 | $0.49 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will either candidate concede in November?No | sell | 20.95 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will either candidate concede by Friday?No | sell | 148.92 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?No | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?No | sell | 185.99 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?No | sell | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will either candidate concede by Friday?No | buy | 148.92 | $0.040 | $5.96 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in her speech after the election is called?No | buy | 60 | $0.984 | $59.04 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 18.95 | $0.960 | $18.19 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?No | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 63 | $0.850 | $53.55 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 107.54 | $0.860 | $92.49 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 33 | $0.870 | $28.71 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 AK-1 election: Peltola (D) vs. Begich (R)Begich | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Florida | buy | 7 | $0.630 | $4.41 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?No | buy | 51 | $0.490 | $24.99 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?No | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?No | buy | 42.67 | $0.560 | $23.9 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Ohio?Florida | buy | 17.52 | $0.600 | $10.51 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 NH-02 election: Goodlander (D) vs. Williams (R)Goodlander | buy | 5.13 | $0.960 | $4.92 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel on Nov 5?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Harris gets more Republican voters than Biden?No | buy | 95 | $0.400 | $38 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Magny vs. PratesMagny | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Kowalkiewicz vs. GomesKowalkiewicz | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Who will win young men?Harris | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Magny vs. PratesMagny | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "hell" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.618 | $9.48 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "China" 7 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 22.76 | $0.390 | $8.88 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mexico" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Mexico" 4 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "think of it" 5 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 19.3 | $0.590 | $11.38 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "can you imagine" 3 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 30.96 | $0.240 | $7.43 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "China" 7 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 45 | $0.370 | $16.65 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?No | buy | 16.73 | $0.600 | $10.04 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 70.17 | $0.480 | $33.68 | Nov 3, 2024 |