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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? | No | 141 | $0.707 | $133.95 | +$34.33 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.190 | $4.94 | Feb 8, 2026 |
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| No |
| 154.4 |
| $0.340 |
| $119.66 |
| +$67.16 |
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.950 | $29.28 | +$0.78 |
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 302 | $0.090 | $11.93 | -$15.25 |
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 65 | $0.390 | $1.4 | -$23.95 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.630 | $0.54 | -$0.1 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 0.62 | $0.750 | $0.14 | -$0.33 |
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 4 | $0.330 | $0.05 | -$1.27 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.170 |
| $0.85 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.170 | $0.44 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 29 | $0.170 | $4.93 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 67 | $0.170 | $11.39 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?No | buy | 123 | $0.863 | $106.15 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 193 | $0.350 | $67.55 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?No | buy | 519 | $0.830 | $430.77 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | buy | 258 | $0.340 | $87.72 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?No | buy | 84 | $0.830 | $69.72 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 193 | $0.340 | $65.62 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?No | buy | 352 | $0.740 | $260.48 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 790 | $0.270 | $213.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
US bank failure by March 31?No | sell | 76 | $0.740 | $56.24 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 455 | $0.520 | $236.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 215 | $0.520 | $111.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 670 | $0.530 | $355.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | sell | 538 | $0.170 | $91.46 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | sell | 59 | $0.630 | $37.17 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | buy | 538 | $0.210 | $112.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | buy | 59 | $0.650 | $38.35 | Jan 11, 2026 |
US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 76 | $0.750 | $57 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | buy | 790 | $0.260 | $205.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | sell | 293 | $0.660 | $193.38 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | sell | 633 | $0.660 | $417.78 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | sell | 732 | $0.560 | $409.92 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 666 | $0.130 | $86.58 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | buy | 926 | $0.700 | $648.2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 666 | $0.170 | $113.22 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | buy | 732 | $0.560 | $409.92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No | sell | 103 | $0.540 | $55.62 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 103 | $0.903 | $93.01 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No | sell | 310 | $0.540 | $167.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 86 | $0.520 | $44.72 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No | buy | 413 | $0.570 | $235.41 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 349 | $0.520 | $181.48 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 349 | $0.520 | $181.48 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?No | sell | 354 | $0.720 | $254.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 503 | $0.890 | $447.67 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No | sell | 302 | $0.890 | $268.78 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No | sell | 66 | $0.690 | $45.54 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?No | buy | 66 | $0.700 | $46.2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?No | buy | 354 | $0.740 | $261.96 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Vanta IPO before 2027?No | sell | 149 | $0.730 | $108.77 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 207 | $0.610 | $126.27 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | sell | 308 | $0.410 | $126.28 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 103 | $0.895 | $92.19 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 86 | $0.660 | $56.76 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the US strike Syria next?No | sell | 505 | $0.820 | $414.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |